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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60682040801008058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.7
23.425.1
Auto10.1
Teleop16.3
End5.2
red by 2.8
2834
#21
28.70.5
28.728.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Second
5090
#18
21.71.9
15.517.3
Auto9.0
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 2.3
9209
#29
19.40.5
18.918.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End6.4
Third
8297
#15
19.71.7
18.320.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End6.7
red by 2.7
9210
#16
17.00.5
15.414.9
Auto6.4
Teleop4.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned