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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6675204060801001209079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.52.4
25.127.5
Auto10.1
Teleop16.3
End5.2
red by 2.8
2834
#21
28.70.9
28.229.1
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Second
9312
#19
25.82.4
16.919.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.8
End4.2
red by 2.7
8423
#31
23.10.9
22.923.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End7.0
Third
5144
#27
23.42.4
21.023.4
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
red by 3.6
8522
#32
19.90.9
18.219.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned