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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88500204060801001201406593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.4
26.224.8
Auto16.3
Teleop18.1
End8.6
red by 14.1
28.91.6
19.921.5
Auto11.4
Teleop10.6
End6.9
Second
1502
#23
17.91.4
24.723.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.9
blue by 1.9
8297
#15
19.71.6
15.116.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End6.7
Third
5205
#37
15.61.4
26.525.2
Auto2.1
Teleop7.1
End6.4
blue by 1.4
9210
#16
17.00.4
17.918.3
Auto6.4
Teleop4.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsEarned