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Red119
332228.7
931225.8
750127.2
Blue107
842323.1
442240.9
102333.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75107204060100120140160119107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#17
28.71.0
26.427.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.9
End5.2
blue by 12.2
40.90.1
40.640.7
Auto13.2
Teleop19.9
End7.8
Second
7501
#14
27.21.1
24.625.7
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End7.6
blue by 6.3
1023
#10
33.50.1
33.133.2
Auto7.4
Teleop18.4
End7.6
Third
9312
#19
25.81.0
23.524.5
Auto6.8
Teleop14.8
End4.2
red by 2.7
8423
#31
23.10.1
22.822.9
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End7.0