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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128655010015099123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
47.80.3
46.746.4
Auto14.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
red by 19.0
3322
#17
28.71.1
24.625.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.9
End5.2
Second
43.10.3
42.542.2
Auto16.3
Teleop18.1
End8.6
red by 15.9
7501
#14
27.21.2
22.623.8
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End7.6
Third
4453
#35
24.00.3
23.022.7
Auto7.8
Teleop10.9
End5.2
blue by 1.8
9312
#19
25.81.1
21.722.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.8
End4.2