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Red23
518311.5
511432.6
77729.3
Blue48
523519.6
515017.1
260416.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62532040801002348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#16
32.63.8
28.925.2
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End9.9
red by 13.0
5235
#14
19.60.9
16.215.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End7.3
Second
5183
#34
11.53.8
14.110.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End3.7
blue by 5.6
5150
#28
17.10.9
17.016.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End8.9
Third
7772
#36
9.33.8
13.910.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End2.5
blue by 7.3
2604
#15
16.60.9
17.716.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsMissed