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Red70
260416.6
107614.9
31430.6
Blue42
609820.9
553315.8
776216.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645802040801001207042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#10
30.60.7
23.824.5
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End7.9
red by 9.7
6098
#12
20.91.4
24.122.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End5.1
Second
2604
#15
16.60.7
16.817.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End6.7
blue by 0.1
7762
#23
16.71.4
21.319.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End7.6
Third
1076
#26
14.90.7
18.519.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End6.9
blue by 0.9
5533
#35
15.81.4
9.58.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed