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Red46
511432.6
504613.9
496113.4
Blue103
516648.7
356822.7
924213.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4886020406010012014046103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#16
32.60.4
25.224.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End9.9
blue by 16.1
48.73.0
39.842.8
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End9.6
Second
5046
#37
13.90.4
13.112.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End3.4
blue by 8.8
3568
#20
22.73.0
19.122.0
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End7.2
Third
4961
#33
13.40.4
11.811.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End0.8
blue by 0.1
9242
#24
13.61.8
17.419.2
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned