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Red81
60859.8
260416.6
556133.7
Blue51
515017.1
923719.6
553315.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674402060801001208151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.3
30.731.0
Auto10.7
Teleop14.2
End8.8
red by 14.1
9237
#30
19.60.8
18.619.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End6.4
Second
2604
#15
16.60.5
17.517.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End6.7
blue by 0.5
5150
#28
17.10.8
17.518.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End8.9
Third
6085
#32
9.80.5
11.511.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End5.6
blue by 5.9
5533
#35
15.80.8
8.08.8
Auto6.9
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsMissed