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Red116
213721.4
516648.7
523519.6
Blue92
32220.1
309819.3
49446.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847220406010012011692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.74.3
44.148.4
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End9.6
red by 2.5
494
#4
46.22.0
36.238.2
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End6.9
Second
2137
#22
21.44.3
19.023.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End4.8
red by 1.4
322
#13
20.11.2
15.817.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End8.9
Third
5235
#14
19.64.3
14.018.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End7.3
red by 0.3
3098
#27
19.32.0
16.618.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned