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Red102
523519.6
49446.2
504613.9
Blue80
477938.1
260416.6
609820.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7676506070809010011010280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
46.22.3
38.240.5
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End6.9
red by 8.1
38.10.7
32.933.6
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End5.2
Second
5235
#14
19.62.3
18.320.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End7.3
blue by 1.3
6098
#12
20.90.7
21.322.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End5.1
Third
5046
#37
13.92.3
13.716.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End3.4
blue by 2.7
2604
#15
16.60.7
18.619.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed