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Red114
561225.6
511432.6
168442.5
Blue106
556133.7
842627.7
553315.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9368406080100120140114106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.53.1
37.540.6
Auto12.7
Teleop23.0
End6.8
red by 8.8
33.72.3
31.834.0
Auto10.7
Teleop14.2
End8.8
Second
5114
#16
32.63.1
26.829.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End9.9
red by 4.9
8426
#19
27.73.5
26.530.1
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End5.7
Third
25.63.1
20.123.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End8.3
red by 9.9
5533
#35
15.83.5
8.612.1
Auto6.9
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsEarned