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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions902404060801001201401605870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.71.8
48.446.6
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End9.6
red by 31.2
5860
#31
17.50.7
11.211.9
Auto6.2
Teleop3.9
End7.4
Second
247
#17
16.31.8
15.814.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End6.1
red by 6.4
6085
#32
9.80.7
10.010.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End5.6
Third
5562
#18
13.41.8
11.59.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End6.5
red by 4.0
7772
#36
9.30.8
9.610.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsEarned