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Red70
556213.4
560331.6
60859.8
Blue69
504613.9
518311.5
31430.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506102040801001207069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.62.1
27.729.8
Auto10.9
Teleop13.3
End7.4
red by 1.1
314
#10
30.60.7
30.029.3
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End7.9
Second
5562
#18
13.42.1
9.611.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End6.5
blue by 0.6
5046
#37
13.90.7
16.015.3
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End3.4
Third
6085
#32
9.82.1
10.712.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End5.6
blue by 1.7
5183
#34
11.50.7
10.19.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed