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Red82
556213.4
511432.6
32220.1
Blue81
477938.1
60859.8
107614.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61702040801001208281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#16
32.62.1
29.331.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End9.9
blue by 5.5
38.11.0
36.337.3
Auto13.7
Teleop19.2
End5.2
Second
322
#13
20.11.6
17.118.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End8.9
red by 5.2
1076
#26
14.91.0
15.416.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End6.9
Third
5562
#18
13.42.1
11.813.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End6.5
red by 3.5
6085
#32
9.81.0
12.813.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned