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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106562040801201401608928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.4
44.944.5
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End7.2
red by 23.0
2137
#22
21.42.5
23.320.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End4.8
Second
33.70.3
32.231.9
Auto10.7
Teleop14.2
End8.8
red by 13.9
7192
#25
19.92.5
21.919.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.0
End6.8
Third
1076
#26
14.90.4
16.416.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End6.9
red by 5.1
6085
#32
9.82.5
13.911.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed