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Red108
28828.5
400435.2
354647.4
Blue113
240529.9
860845.4
781023.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878560708090100110120108113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.9
38.640.5
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.4
red by 2.1
45.42.1
41.543.6
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Second
35.21.9
20.722.6
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End8.3
red by 5.3
2405
#24
29.92.1
23.025.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End8.1
Third
288
#26
28.51.9
20.522.4
Auto13.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
red by 5.2
7810
#22
23.42.1
17.019.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned