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Red60
760213.8
600523.5
611426.9
Blue57
277135.5
920616.2
922813.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595202040801006057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6114
#19
26.90.7
20.719.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.5
blue by 8.7
35.50.2
23.223.4
Auto12.6
Teleop16.2
End6.8
Second
6005
#11
23.50.7
19.318.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End9.1
red by 7.3
9206
#28
16.20.2
11.511.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End5.0
Third
7602
#37
13.80.7
14.213.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End4.4
red by 0.6
9228
#34
13.20.2
14.815.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsMissed