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Red80
496753.1
828523.9
780813.2
Blue100
609056.3
812635.9
240529.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819505015020025080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.2
42.142.2
Auto15.7
Teleop29.8
End7.7
blue by 3.3
56.30.9
43.144.0
Auto15.6
Teleop30.6
End9.8
Second
8285
#35
23.90.2
18.318.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.0
End5.2
blue by 12.0
35.90.9
21.922.7
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End8.8
Third
7808
#38
13.20.2
17.417.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
blue by 16.6
2405
#24
29.90.9
22.123.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned