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Red119
860845.4
780920.3
439161.9
Blue103
277135.5
24431.0
910628.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13167050100150200119103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.0
49.849.7
Auto15.3
Teleop37.6
End8.5
red by 26.4
35.52.1
25.527.7
Auto12.6
Teleop16.2
End6.8
Second
45.40.0
45.045.0
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 14.4
244
#17
31.02.1
26.228.4
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End7.4
Third
7809
#13
20.30.0
19.919.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End5.1
blue by 8.6
9106
#21
28.82.1
19.421.5
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned