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Red120
439161.9
21631.7
28828.5
Blue108
354647.4
780813.2
609056.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108117050150200250120108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.91.1
49.750.9
Auto15.3
Teleop37.6
End8.5
red by 5.6
56.31.8
48.546.7
Auto15.6
Teleop30.6
End9.8
Second
216
#12
31.71.1
29.130.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.6
End6.6
blue by 15.7
47.41.8
42.840.9
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Third
288
#26
28.51.1
24.025.1
Auto13.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
red by 15.3
7808
#38
13.21.8
17.415.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned