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Red148
439161.9
910628.8
812635.9
Blue108
922221.4
609056.3
400435.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710590100120130140148108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.93.2
50.954.1
Auto15.3
Teleop37.6
End8.5
red by 5.6
56.30.6
46.747.3
Auto15.6
Teleop30.6
End9.8
Second
35.93.2
28.131.3
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End8.8
red by 0.7
35.20.6
26.427.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End8.3
Third
9106
#21
28.83.2
21.524.6
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End8.4
red by 7.4
9222
#32
21.40.6
25.526.1
Auto9.2
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned