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Red72
921527.2
724822.4
28828.5
Blue97
922813.2
439161.9
600523.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6683020401001201407297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#26
28.50.5
20.020.5
Auto13.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
blue by 33.4
61.91.4
44.946.3
Auto15.3
Teleop37.6
End8.5
Second
9215
#18
27.20.5
22.523.0
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End7.7
red by 3.7
6005
#11
23.51.4
17.919.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End9.1
Third
7248
#33
22.40.6
22.022.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.9
End5.9
red by 9.1
9228
#34
13.21.6
13.314.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned