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Red53
562323.6
721018.4
921527.2
Blue52
760213.8
876721.2
240529.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69643040506080901005352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9215
#18
27.20.7
26.725.9
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End7.7
blue by 2.7
2405
#24
29.90.6
28.127.5
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End8.1
Second
5623
#10
23.60.7
21.120.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.5
End6.6
red by 2.3
8767
#25
21.20.6
21.420.8
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Third
7210
#30
18.40.7
16.415.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End7.6
red by 4.6
7602
#37
13.80.6
11.510.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned17%Activation oddsMissed