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Red144
920616.2
496753.1
207563.0
Blue142
439161.9
354647.4
839721.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125126100110120130140150160144142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.01.7
57.258.9
Auto17.2
Teleop37.0
End8.1
red by 1.1
61.91.6
56.858.4
Auto15.3
Teleop37.6
End8.5
Second
53.11.7
47.048.7
Auto15.7
Teleop29.8
End7.7
red by 5.6
47.41.6
43.945.5
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Third
9206
#28
16.21.7
14.316.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End5.0
blue by 5.4
8397
#29
21.51.6
17.118.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned