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Red63
922813.2
780813.2
860845.4
Blue91
780920.3
921527.2
85829.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76776570758085906391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.2
44.543.3
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 16.2
858
#15
29.21.3
24.325.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End5.9
Second
7808
#38
13.21.2
15.314.0
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
blue by 13.9
9215
#18
27.21.3
25.927.2
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End7.7
Third
9228
#34
13.21.2
11.810.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End4.8
blue by 7.0
7809
#13
20.31.3
22.023.3
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsMissed