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Red111
400435.2
277135.5
85829.2
Blue85
781023.4
910628.8
812635.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069140608012014016018011185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.2
34.734.9
Auto12.6
Teleop16.2
End6.8
blue by 0.4
35.90.2
35.635.4
Auto11.5
Teleop15.6
End8.8
Second
35.20.2
34.434.6
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End8.3
red by 6.4
9106
#21
28.80.2
28.528.3
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End8.4
Third
858
#15
29.20.2
28.428.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End5.9
red by 5.8
7810
#22
23.40.2
23.022.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End4.7