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Red167
921527.2
439161.9
207563.0
Blue104
85829.2
277135.5
400435.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1649550150200167104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.5
62.362.8
Auto17.2
Teleop37.0
End8.1
red by 27.5
35.50.1
34.935.1
Auto12.6
Teleop16.2
End6.8
Second
61.90.5
61.261.7
Auto15.3
Teleop37.6
End8.5
red by 26.7
35.20.1
34.634.7
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End8.3
Third
9215
#18
27.20.5
26.527.0
Auto9.5
Teleop9.5
End7.7
blue by 2.0
858
#15
29.20.1
28.628.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End5.9