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Red123
400435.2
277135.5
85829.2
Blue69
505626.4
600523.5
765829.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10982406010012014016018012369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.5
35.135.6
Auto12.6
Teleop16.2
End6.8
red by 6.1
7658
#14
29.40.2
29.729.4
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End9.4
Second
35.20.5
34.735.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End8.3
red by 8.8
5056
#16
26.40.2
26.626.4
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End5.3
Third
858
#15
29.20.5
28.729.3
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End5.9
red by 5.8
6005
#11
23.50.2
23.723.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End9.1