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Red80
564125.8
7043.7
92518.4
Blue63
55278.1
553817.7
3341.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6160203040507080901008063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#3
43.72.6
25.528.0
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End8.8
red by 2.3
33
#4
41.40.7
34.635.3
Auto10.6
Teleop20.8
End10.0
Second
5641
#10
25.82.6
23.125.7
Auto10.2
Teleop8.5
End7.1
red by 8.1
5538
#20
17.70.7
13.213.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End6.5
Third
9251
#38
8.42.6
8.410.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End1.3
red by 0.3
5527
#27
8.10.7
9.39.9
Auto1.0
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned