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Red36
89418.2
749122.1
569716.3
Blue57
499822.5
876714.5
87289.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57532040803657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.9
21.319.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End10.2
blue by 0.4
4998
#14
22.50.9
15.314.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.7
End4.4
Second
894
#37
18.21.9
18.116.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End6.0
red by 3.6
8767
#26
14.50.9
17.316.4
Auto0.7
Teleop8.3
End5.6
Third
5697
#25
16.31.9
13.711.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End7.9
red by 6.9
8728
#35
9.50.9
17.716.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsMissed