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Red62
876714.5
569716.3
60918.8
Blue74
24530.5
778412.8
92518.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34490204060801006274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5697
#25
16.30.3
9.810.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End7.9
blue by 14.2
245
#7
30.53.3
23.927.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End7.3
Second
8767
#26
14.50.3
12.612.9
Auto0.7
Teleop8.3
End5.6
red by 1.7
7784
#39
12.83.3
11.915.2
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Third
6091
#36
8.80.3
11.511.9
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End6.5
red by 0.4
9251
#38
8.43.3
8.511.8
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed