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Red68
413031.9
526016.7
564125.8
Blue118
7043.7
366836.6
89418.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76835060709010011012068118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.5
30.129.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 11.8
70
#3
43.72.3
32.935.2
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End8.8
Second
5641
#10
25.80.5
22.622.2
Auto10.2
Teleop8.5
End7.1
blue by 10.8
36.62.3
27.229.6
Auto12.5
Teleop20.9
End3.2
Third
5260
#31
16.70.4
19.619.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End6.0
blue by 1.4
894
#37
18.22.2
17.019.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed