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Red32
661022.9
87289.5
89418.2
Blue70
924217.4
566033.9
214511.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5169204060801003270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6610
#12
22.91.8
23.121.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End8.9
blue by 11.0
5660
#16
33.90.8
33.334.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Second
894
#37
18.21.8
19.217.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End6.0
red by 0.8
17.40.7
14.214.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End10.8
Third
8728
#35
9.51.8
8.26.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.9
End3.4
blue by 1.9
2145
#19
11.30.7
15.215.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsEarned