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Red113
24530.5
55278.1
7043.7
Blue77
170128.5
499418.4
920719.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837020406010012014016011377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#3
43.72.6
37.940.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.5
End8.8
red by 15.2
1701
#29
28.50.5
30.030.4
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End6.8
Second
245
#7
30.52.6
31.333.9
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End7.3
red by 11.0
9207
#17
19.50.5
16.416.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.5
End8.0
Third
5527
#27
8.12.8
6.79.5
Auto1.0
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 10.2
4994
#21
18.40.5
20.921.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned