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Red34
819316.4
924217.4
24530.5
Blue23
778412.8
499822.5
89418.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63623040507080903423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#7
30.52.8
25.022.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End7.3
red by 8.0
4998
#14
22.55.0
18.013.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.7
End4.4
Second
17.47.4
21.313.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End10.8
blue by 0.8
894
#37
18.25.0
22.617.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End6.0
Third
8193
#18
16.42.8
17.314.5
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End5.0
red by 3.5
7784
#39
12.85.0
17.412.4
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed