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Red85
610212.3
876714.5
366836.6
Blue31
819316.4
170128.5
92518.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70582040801001208531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.0
35.736.7
Auto12.5
Teleop20.9
End3.2
red by 8.1
1701
#29
28.52.3
30.428.2
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End6.8
Second
8767
#26
14.50.9
14.815.7
Auto0.7
Teleop8.3
End5.6
blue by 1.9
8193
#18
16.42.4
16.814.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End5.0
Third
6102
#23
12.31.0
13.914.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End5.2
red by 3.8
9251
#38
8.42.4
9.16.7
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsMissed