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Red38
499822.5
610212.3
83859.5
Blue85
779028.2
24530.5
60918.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4969204060801001203885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4998
#14
22.51.7
22.520.8
Auto6.4
Teleop11.7
End4.4
blue by 8.0
245
#7
30.50.9
30.030.9
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End7.3
Second
6102
#23
12.31.8
14.913.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End5.2
blue by 15.9
7790
#30
28.21.1
24.725.9
Auto11.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
Third
8385
#34
9.51.5
11.09.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End3.7
red by 0.7
6091
#36
8.81.0
7.88.8
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsEarned