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Red77
607317.1
170128.5
566033.9
Blue85
92518.4
150649.4
749122.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8484607080901001107785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#16
33.90.6
32.732.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.9
End7.0
blue by 15.5
49.40.2
47.747.5
Auto12.9
Teleop27.0
End9.4
Second
1701
#29
28.50.5
28.628.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End6.8
red by 6.4
22.10.3
21.921.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End10.2
Third
6073
#33
17.10.5
17.617.1
Auto0.7
Teleop11.8
End4.6
red by 8.7
9251
#38
8.40.3
8.78.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned