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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614902040801001205018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.2
28.026.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 12.7
5282
#22
19.23.3
14.811.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End5.0
Second
322
#15
18.81.2
17.015.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End6.4
red by 9.4
8728
#35
9.53.3
21.017.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.9
End3.4
Third
5527
#27
8.11.2
10.49.3
Auto1.0
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 0.3
9251
#38
8.43.3
11.78.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsMissed