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Red113
87289.5
150649.4
546048.2
Blue27
661022.9
214511.3
499418.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11750010015011327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.3
47.547.2
Auto12.9
Teleop27.0
End9.4
red by 26.5
6610
#12
22.90.6
23.723.1
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End8.9
Second
48.20.3
46.346.0
Auto13.7
Teleop27.4
End7.1
red by 29.8
4994
#21
18.40.7
19.318.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End6.9
Third
8728
#35
9.50.3
7.57.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.9
End3.4
blue by 1.9
2145
#19
11.30.6
12.111.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End3.9