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Red119
89418.2
566033.9
3341.4
Blue109
779028.2
924217.4
543630.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97804060120140119109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
41.40.7
39.840.5
Auto10.6
Teleop20.8
End10.0
red by 10.7
5436
#13
30.80.6
30.931.5
Auto6.0
Teleop17.4
End7.3
Second
5660
#16
33.90.8
32.132.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 5.7
7790
#30
28.20.7
28.429.0
Auto11.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
Third
894
#37
18.20.7
16.517.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End6.0
red by 0.8
17.40.6
17.518.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End10.8