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Red95
749122.1
564125.8
170128.5
Blue108
779028.2
924217.4
543630.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8083406010012095108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#29
28.50.2
28.328.5
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End6.8
blue by 2.3
5436
#13
30.80.7
31.131.8
Auto6.0
Teleop17.4
End7.3
Second
5641
#10
25.80.2
25.625.8
Auto10.2
Teleop8.5
End7.1
blue by 2.4
7790
#30
28.20.8
28.629.3
Auto11.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
Third
22.10.2
21.822.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End10.2
red by 4.7
17.40.7
17.718.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End10.8