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Red112
749130.7
317539.3
3360.4
Blue132
999233.0
150660.2
705638.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14212950100200250112132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
60.40.4
60.660.2
Auto19.4
Teleop33.2
End6.9
red by 0.2
60.20.1
61.061.0
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End9.3
Second
39.30.4
39.539.1
Auto15.6
Teleop16.7
End7.7
red by 1.2
7056
#26
38.10.1
38.938.8
Auto12.0
Teleop18.2
End8.0
Third
7491
#28
30.70.4
30.930.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End9.1
blue by 2.3
9992
#13
33.00.1
34.434.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.5
End7.1