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Red104
828018.3
481024.6
477943.2
Blue107
6833.4
283240.9
50344.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86126050150200250300104107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#17
43.20.5
42.042.5
Auto11.1
Teleop26.8
End5.1
blue by 1.1
503
#19
44.30.4
42.842.5
Auto13.3
Teleop21.5
End9.8
Second
4810
#20
24.60.5
23.423.8
Auto8.4
Teleop12.9
End3.6
blue by 16.3
2832
#14
40.90.4
36.335.9
Auto10.5
Teleop23.0
End7.2
Third
8280
#36
18.30.5
19.820.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.0
End4.7
blue by 15.1
68
#21
33.40.4
33.433.0
Auto8.4
Teleop17.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned