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Red48
81457.4
171127.7
364147.3
Blue142
2740.5
353640.7
150660.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9214805020025030035048142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#18
47.33.1
54.251.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End8.5
blue by 12.9
60.20.4
58.558.9
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End9.3
Second
1711
#23
27.73.1
31.027.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End5.5
blue by 13.0
3536
#12
40.70.4
38.639.0
Auto12.8
Teleop21.2
End6.5
Third
8145
#30
7.43.1
8.85.7
Auto1.3
Teleop3.3
End3.1
blue by 33.1
27
#6
40.50.4
35.135.5
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned