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Red150
30248.6
776947.9
150660.2
Blue111
999233.0
477943.2
50344.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18196050150200250150111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.20.6
58.958.3
Auto16.0
Teleop33.9
End9.3
red by 15.9
503
#19
44.30.0
42.542.5
Auto13.3
Teleop21.5
End9.8
Second
302
#24
48.60.6
51.050.4
Auto12.8
Teleop29.3
End6.2
red by 5.4
4779
#17
43.20.0
42.542.5
Auto11.1
Teleop26.8
End5.1
Third
47.90.6
54.353.7
Auto10.7
Teleop27.1
End8.8
red by 14.9
9992
#13
33.00.1
25.325.4
Auto8.8
Teleop17.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned