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Red123
999613.5
2740.5
283240.9
Blue44
824314.2
557714.3
24717.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9746015020012344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#14
40.91.3
37.839.1
Auto10.5
Teleop23.0
End7.2
red by 23.6
247
#29
17.30.3
16.816.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End4.0
Second
27
#6
40.51.3
35.536.8
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End8.6
red by 26.2
5577
#33
14.30.3
16.616.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End6.3
Third
9996
#31
13.52.2
15.117.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End4.6
blue by 0.7
8243
#38
14.20.3
15.214.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed