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Red97
283240.9
722522.9
30248.6
Blue117
686121.0
365639.5
353640.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210205015020097117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#24
48.61.0
49.148.1
Auto12.8
Teleop29.3
End6.2
red by 7.9
3536
#12
40.71.3
39.440.7
Auto12.8
Teleop21.2
End6.5
Second
2832
#14
40.91.0
39.038.0
Auto10.5
Teleop23.0
End7.2
red by 1.3
3656
#11
39.51.3
38.239.5
Auto12.1
Teleop19.1
End7.9
Third
7225
#32
22.91.0
23.922.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.7
End3.9
red by 1.9
6861
#25
21.01.3
19.721.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsMissed64%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsEarned