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Red100
170142.1
364147.3
824314.2
Blue109
477943.2
332237.5
6833.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151168090100110120130140100109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#18
47.30.6
49.649.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End8.5
red by 4.1
4779
#17
43.20.2
40.640.4
Auto11.1
Teleop26.8
End5.1
Second
1701
#22
42.10.6
44.443.8
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End7.6
red by 4.6
3322
#10
37.50.2
34.934.7
Auto11.9
Teleop19.3
End7.1
Third
8243
#38
14.20.6
14.814.2
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End5.5
blue by 19.2
68
#21
33.40.2
31.631.4
Auto8.4
Teleop17.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsMissed60%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed